Pacers vs. Grizzlies prediction and picks, November 4, 2026
Indiana Pacers (2-6) at Memphis Grizzlies (6-1), , FedExForum in Memphis on DAZN MEM, DAZN IND.
On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 4, 2:16 PM ET
Our picks for Pacers-Grizzlies
- SpreadGrizzlies -7.5 −103Model 56.2% vs 50.7% to break evenClear edge +5.5Posted
- TotalOver 228.5 −115Model 53.7% vs 53.5% to break evenSlim edge +0.2Posted
- MoneylineGrizzlies to win −265Model 75.5% vs 72.6% to break evenSlim edge +2.9Posted
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies spread | −6.5 | −7.5 | −9.7 | −2.2 |
| Total points | 230.5 | 229.5 | 230.2 | +0.7 |
| Moneyline | IND +218 / MEM −265 | IND +309 / MEM −309 | ||
Looking ahead: Pacers vs. Grizzlies
- Over their last 5, the Pacers sit at 2-6 and 0-5, with 111.8 scored and 115.6 allowed on average.
- Over their last 5, the Grizzlies sit at 6-1 and 4-1, with 123.0 scored and 110.1 allowed on average.
- Each game, the Pacers average 103.2 possessions (14th in the league), and the Grizzlies 104.7 (11th). The 230.2 total we project is 1.7 points higher than the 228.5 currently shown.
- The Grizzlies score 123.0 a game on a 47.6% field-goal rate; the Pacers give up 115.6.
- The Pacers have 4 players unavailable: Ivica Zubac, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell and Johnny Furphy are also out.
- The Grizzlies have 1 out: Scotty Pippen Jr..
- The model has Grizzlies 9.7-point favorites, with a 75.5% chance to win.
Report on injuries
Pacers injuries
- Out Ivica Zubac C · ankle · expected return Nov 4
- Day-To-Day Kelly Oubre Jr. G · knee · expected return Nov 4
- Out Obi Toppin F · back · expected return Nov 4
- Out T.J. McConnell G · hamstring · expected return Nov 9
- Out Johnny Furphy G · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
Grizzlies injuries
- Day-To-Day Quinten Post C · ankle · expected return Nov 4
- Out Scotty Pippen Jr. G · back · expected return Nov 6
Official league injury report: 12:45 PM ET, Nov 4 PDF.
Team stats for the season
| Per game | IND | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 111.8 19th | 123.0 1st |
| Rebounds | 41.6 23rd | 49.7 2nd |
| Assists | 27.2 9th | 27.4 7th |
| Field goal | 46.6% 13th | 47.6% 6th |
| 3-point | 32.9% 23rd | 42.1% 1st |
| Free throw | 74.1% 26th | 84.2% 2nd |
| Turnovers | 15.8 17th | 16.0 18th |
| Possessions | 103.2 14th | 104.7 11th |
League rank sits in small type, with 8 and 7 games played. The better side is shown in bold.
Where the teams stand
| IND | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 12th East | 2nd West |
| Record | 2-6 | 6-1 |
| Games back | 5 | 0.5 |
| Home / road | 0-4 / 2-2 | 2-1 / 4-0 |
| Last 10, streak | 2-6, L5 | 6-1, L1 |
| Point differential | −3.9 | +12.9 |
| Projected wins | 28.2 | 45.8 |
| Playoff chance | 14.2% | 68.2% |
These numbers come from 10,000 simulations covering the rest of the season; the full table is on NBA futures.
Top players this season
Pacers leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton | G | 4 | 33.0 | 21.8 | 4.5 | 9.5 | 51.6 | 37.0 | 86.7 |
| Pascal Siakam | F | 7 | 32.3 | 21.4 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 65.0 |
| Andrew Nembhard | G | 6 | 32.7 | 18.5 | 2.2 | 7.3 | 45.0 | 41.7 | 88.9 |
| Obi Toppinout | F | 5 | 23.0 | 15.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 53.8 | 40.7 | 64.3 |
| Aaron Nesmith | G | 6 | 23.0 | 12.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 39.3 | 30.3 | 86.4 |
Grizzlies leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | G | 6 | 31.2 | 28.2 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 50.4 | 42.1 | 88.6 |
| Cameron Boozer | F | 7 | 32.0 | 17.4 | 10.3 | 5.6 | 37.5 | 36.4 | 94.4 |
| Cedric Coward | F | 6 | 28.7 | 12.8 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 49.2 | 57.7 | 66.7 |
| Isaiah Stewart | C | 6 | 19.7 | 12.8 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 65.9 | 57.1 | 100.0 |
| Jaylen Wells | F | 7 | 28.1 | 12.7 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 55.0 | 38.9 | 69.2 |
Expected starters and rosters
Pacers starters
- F Jalen Slawson
- F Jarace Walker
- C Jay Huff
- G Quenton Jackson
- G Braden Smith
Full Pacers roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kobe Brown | G | 6' 7" | 26 |
| 12 | Johnny Furphy | G | 6' 8" | 21 |
| 0 | Tyrese Haliburton | G | 6' 5" | 26 |
| 32 | Jay Huff | C | 7' 1" | 29 |
| 29 | Quenton Jackson | G | 6' 4" | 28 |
| 9 | T.J. McConnell | G | 6' 1" | 34 |
| 22 | Larry Nance Jr. | F | 6' 6" | 33 |
| 2 | Andrew Nembhard | G | 6' 4" | 26 |
| 23 | Aaron Nesmith | G | 6' 5" | 27 |
| 10 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | G | 6' 8" | 30 |
| 26 | Ben Sheppard | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 43 | Pascal Siakam | F | 6' 8" | 32 |
| 18 | Jalen Slawson | F | 6' 7" | 27 |
| 3 | Braden Smith | G | 5' 10" | 23 |
| 1 | Obi Toppin | F | 6' 9" | 28 |
| 5 | Jarace Walker | F | 6' 7" | 23 |
| 40 | Ivica Zubac | C | 7' 0" | 29 |
Grizzlies starters
- F Cedric Coward
- F Cameron Boozer
- F Jaylen Wells
- C Zach Edey
- G Ty Jerome
Each team's Nov 2 game provides the starting five; confirmed lineups show up about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Grizzlies roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cameron Boozer | F | 6' 8" | 19 |
| 20 | Carson Cooper | C | 6' 11" | 22 |
| 23 | Cedric Coward | F | 6' 5" | 23 |
| 14 | Zach Edey | C | 7' 3" | 24 |
| 3 | Jerami Grant | F | 6' 7" | 32 |
| 22 | Taylor Hendricks | F | 6' 9" | 22 |
| 45 | GG Jackson | F | 6' 9" | 21 |
| 2 | Ty Jerome | G | 6' 5" | 29 |
| 35 | Karim Lopez | F | 6' 8" | 19 |
| 21 | Jahmai Mashack | G | 6' 3" | 23 |
| 17 | Kris Murray | F | 6' 8" | 26 |
| 1 | Scotty Pippen Jr. | G | 6' 2" | 25 |
| 41 | Quinten Post | C | 7' 0" | 26 |
| 18 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | F | 6' 7" | 24 |
| 10 | Javon Small | G | 6' 1" | 23 |
| 24 | Cam Spencer | G | 6' 3" | 26 |
| 28 | Isaiah Stewart | C | 6' 8" | 25 |
| 0 | Jaylen Wells | F | 6' 7" | 23 |
The season series and the five most recent games
Head-to-head games this season
- Nov 4 Pacers at Grizzlies, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Pacers 0, Grizzlies 2
- Points per game
- Pacers 104.5, Grizzlies 126.5
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Regular season | Grizzlies at Pacers | 125-106 | Grizzlies by 19 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Regular season | Pacers at Grizzlies | 103-128 | Grizzlies by 25 |
Pacers last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vs Hawks | L 104-108 | +10.5 | W |
| Nov 1 | vs Nets | L 90-98 | −3.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | @ Heat | L 125-145 | +8.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | vs 76ers | L 109-114 | +7.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | @ Bucks | L 102-110 | −3.5 | L |
Grizzlies last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vs Pelicans | L 134-135 | −5.5 | L |
| Oct 31 | vs Kings | W 136-105 | −7.5 | W |
| Oct 29 | @ Trail Blazers | W 124-103 | +7.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | @ Jazz | W 110-105 | −1.5 | W |
| Oct 25 | @ Kings | W 123-112 | −3.5 | W |