Oklahoma City Thunder predictions, picks and odds
- Record
- 5-2
- West rank
- 6
- Model rating
- +4.6 6th of 30
- Projected wins
- 50.1
- Playoff chance
- 84.2%
- Title chance
- 5.1%
Thunder schedule: upcoming games and our win chance
| Date | Opponent | Tip | Thunder win chance | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs Cavaliers | 8:00 PM ET | 61.2% | Picks and preview |
| Nov 6 | @ Grizzlies | 8:00 PM ET | 50.9% | Picks and preview |
| Nov 72nd night | vs Wizards | 8:00 PM ET | 77.4% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 10 | @ Trail Blazers | 11:00 PM ET | 46.6% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 112nd night | @ Trail Blazers | 10:00 PM ET | 46.6% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 13 | @ Clippers | 10:30 PM ET | 63.4% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 15 | @ Kings | 9:00 PM ET | 79.5% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 18 | vs Hawks | 8:00 PM ET | 63.0% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 20 | vs Pelicans | 8:00 PM ET | 70.8% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 22 | @ Heat | 6:00 PM ET | 62.2% | Opens 3 days before tip |
Results against the spread for the Thunder
Against the closing spread, the Thunder sit at 4-3 in the games below.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ Cavaliers | W 117-112 | +4.5 | W |
| Oct 31 | @ Rockets | L 98-119 | +2.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | @ Mavericks | L 96-120 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | vs Suns | W 125-114 | −8.5 | W |
| Oct 25 | vs Clippers | W 108-101 | −16.5 | L |
| Oct 22 | vs Nuggets | W 96-84 | −7.5 | W |
| Oct 20 | @ Spurs | W 116-104 | −1.5 | W |
Thunder 2025-26 season
64-18, 1st in the West. Out in the conference finals.
- Win pct
- .780
- Home
- 34-7
- Road
- 30-10
- vs West
- 41-11
- Within 5 pts
- 9-7
- Points
- 119.0
- Allowed
- 107.9
- Margin
- +11.1
Projections and standings for the Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | PPG | OPPG | Diff | Home | Road | Strk | L10 | Proj. W | Seed | Playoffs | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 7 | 1 | .875 | 0 | 119.2 | 106.4 | +12.9 | 4-0 | 3-1 | W2 | 7-1 | 57.6 48–66 | 2 | 97.6% | 19.5% |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 | 123.0 | 110.1 | +12.9 | 2-1 | 4-0 | L1 | 6-1 | 45.8 36–56 | 7 | 68.2% | 1.8% |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 | 120.2 | 109.3 | +10.8 | 1-1 | 4-0 | W2 | 5-1 | 48.7 38–59 | 5 | 79.0% | 4.2% |
| 4 | Lakers | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1 | 122.5 | 115.2 | +7.2 | 4-1 | 2-1 | W2 | 6-2 | 49.1 39–59 | 5 | 82.0% | 4.0% |
| 5 | Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 | 117.6 | 108.3 | +9.3 | 3-2 | 2-0 | W5 | 5-2 | 52.6 43–62 | 4 | 90.9% | 9.5% |
| 6 | Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 | 108.0 | 107.7 | +0.3 | 3-0 | 2-2 | W1 | 5-2 | 50.1 40–60 | 5 | 84.2% | 5.1% |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 | 119.0 | 107.6 | +11.4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | W1 | 5-3 | 52.8 44–62 | 4 | 92.3% | 10.9% |
| 8 | Warriors | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 | 117.5 | 114.6 | +2.9 | 3-1 | 2-2 | W5 | 5-3 | 45.3 35–55 | 7 | 66.9% | 1.5% |
| 9 | Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 | 112.3 | 112.3 | 0.0 | 2-2 | 2-1 | L1 | 4-3 | 37.6 28–48 | 10 | 29.7% | 0.2% |
| 10 | Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 | 113.3 | 115.7 | −2.3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | L1 | 3-3 | 41.2 31–52 | 9 | 48.4% | 0.9% |
| 11 | Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 | 121.9 | 120.1 | +1.7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | W3 | 3-4 | 35.7 26–46 | 11 | 23.1% | 0.2% |
| 12 | Suns | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 | 112.2 | 122.8 | −10.6 | 1-1 | 0-3 | L3 | 1-4 | 33.1 22–44 | 12 | 17.4% | 0.1% |
| 13 | Clippers | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 | 108.1 | 115.4 | −7.3 | 1-2 | 0-4 | L6 | 1-6 | 34.0 24–44 | 11 | 18.2% | 0.2% |
| 14 | Jazz | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 | 107.0 | 118.9 | −11.9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | L5 | 1-6 | 24.1 15–33 | 14 | 1.5% | <0.1% |
| 15 | Kings | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 | 110.1 | 124.3 | −14.1 | 0-2 | 1-4 | W1 | 1-6 | 21.5 13–31 | 14 | 0.7% | <0.1% |
We use our ratings to run 10,000 simulations of each remaining game, producing projected wins, seed and chances. Outcomes in the middle 80% fall within that range. For both conferences: NBA futures.
Stats for the Thunder
- Points
- 108.0
- 25th
- Rebounds
- 46.6
- 9th
- Assists
- 21.1
- 30th
- Field goal
- 43.8%
- 24th
- 3-point
- 32.0%
- 26th
- Free throw
- 87.9%
- 1st
- Turnovers
- 13.7
- 3rd
- Possessions
- 101.1
- 22nd
Thunder leaders this season
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 7 | 33.6 | 28.4 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 45.1 | 33.3 | 87.5 |
| Ajay Mitchell | G | 7 | 26.9 | 17.0 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 50.0 | 19.0 | 95.5 |
| Jalen Williams | G | 3 | 31.7 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 80.0 |
| Chet Holmgren | C | 3 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 40.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 |
| Jared McCain | G | 7 | 25.0 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 34.7 | 28.2 | 81.8 |
| Alex Caruso | G | 4 | 19.0 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 56.5 | 50.0 | 75.0 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | C | 7 | 24.6 | 8.9 | 9.9 | 2.3 | 48.1 | 0.0 | 92.3 |
| Aday Mara | C | 7 | 18.3 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 55.9 | 77.8 |
Injuries affecting the Thunder
- Out Nikola Topic G · back · expected return Nov 13
- Out Thomas Sorber C · knee · expected return Nov 13
- Day-To-Day Jaylin Williams F · back · expected return Nov 4
- Out Cason Wallace G · shoulder · expected return Mar 2, 2027
- Out Chet Holmgren C · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
- Out Jalen Williams G · leg · expected return Mar 2, 2027
All teams: NBA injury report.
Thunder player roster
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Brooks Barnhizer | F | 6' 6" | 24 | 2 |
| 9 | Alex Caruso | G | 6' 5" | 32 | 10 |
| 21 | Josh Dix | G | 6' 5" | 22 | 0 |
| 2 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 6' 6" | 28 | 9 |
| 55 | Isaiah Hartenstein | C | 7' 0" | 28 | 9 |
| 7 | Chet Holmgren | C | 7' 1" | 24 | 4 |
| 15 | Aday Mara | C | 7' 3" | 21 | 0 |
| 3 | Jared McCain | G | 6' 3" | 22 | 3 |
| 25 | Ajay Mitchell | G | 6' 4" | 24 | 3 |
| Micah Peavy | G | 6' 7" | 25 | 2 | |
| 12 | Thomas Sorber | C | 6' 9" | 20 | 0 |
| 14 | Bennett Stirtz | G | 6' 4" | 23 | 0 |
| Dalen Terry | G | 6' 6" | 24 | 5 | |
| 44 | Nikola Topic | G | 6' 6" | 21 | 2 |
| 22 | Cason Wallace | G | 6' 3" | 22 | 4 |
| 8 | Jalen Williams | G | 6' 5" | 25 | 5 |
| 6 | Jaylin Williams | F | 6' 9" | 24 | 5 |
| 34 | Kenrich Williams | G | 6' 7" | 31 | 9 |