Miami Heat predictions, picks and odds
- Record
- 2-5
- East rank
- 10
- Model rating
- −1.5 19th of 30
- Projected wins
- 36.8
- Playoff chance
- 51.0%
- Title chance
- 0.3%
Heat schedule: upcoming games and our win chance
| Date | Opponent | Tip | Heat win chance | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ Clippers | 10:30 PM ET | 46.3% | Picks and preview |
| Nov 52nd night | @ Warriors | 10:00 PM ET | 29.2% | Picks and preview |
| Nov 8 | @ Kings | 9:00 PM ET | 65.2% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 10 | @ Jazz | 9:00 PM ET | 60.4% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 13 | vs Cavaliers | 8:00 PM ET | 44.0% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 142nd night | vs Pistons | 8:00 PM ET | 25.0% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 16 | vs Rockets | 7:30 PM ET | 33.0% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 18 | vs Bucks | 7:00 PM ET | 72.3% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 22 | vs Thunder | 6:00 PM ET | 37.8% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 25 | @ 76ers | 5:00 PM ET | 35.9% | Opens 3 days before tip |
Heat results versus the spread
Against the closing spread, the Heat hold a 2-5 record in the games below.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ Lakers | L 117-138 | +1.5 | L |
| Oct 30 | vs Pacers | W 145-125 | −8.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Hawks | W 129-117 | +2.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | vs Mavericks | L 109-113 | −7.5 | L |
| Oct 24 | @ Hornets | L 110-115 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 23 | vs Pistons | L 111-128 | +2.5 | L |
| Oct 21 | vs Timberwolves | L 106-131 | −1.5 | L |
Heat 2025-26 season
43-39, 10th in the East. Out in the Play-In.
- Win pct
- .524
- Home
- 26-15
- Road
- 17-24
- vs East
- 27-25
- Within 5 pts
- 8-8
- Points
- 120.9
- Allowed
- 118.5
- Margin
- +2.3
| Round | Opponent | Games | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Play-In | Hornets | 0-1 | L |
Standings and projections for the Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | PPG | OPPG | Diff | Home | Road | Strk | L10 | Proj. W | Seed | Playoffs | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 76ers | 7 | 1 | .875 | 0 | 110.9 | 105.1 | +5.8 | 4-1 | 3-0 | W4 | 7-1 | 46.8 37–56 | 5 | 88.8% | 2.1% |
| 2 | Pistons | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 | 111.9 | 100.3 | +11.6 | 2-0 | 4-1 | W3 | 6-1 | 57.3 48–66 | 1 | 99.3% | 19.7% |
| 3 | Celtics | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 | 115.0 | 109.1 | +5.9 | 4-0 | 1-2 | L1 | 5-2 | 50.8 41–60 | 3 | 95.3% | 7.1% |
| 4 | Raptors | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 | 119.1 | 111.4 | +7.7 | 2-1 | 2-2 | W1 | 4-3 | 47.9 38–58 | 4 | 91.4% | 4.9% |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 | 119.7 | 116.1 | +3.6 | 3-1 | 1-2 | L1 | 4-3 | 45.3 35–55 | 5 | 85.3% | 2.8% |
| 6 | Wizards | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 | 109.4 | 107.4 | +2.0 | 2-1 | 2-2 | W2 | 4-3 | 32.9 23–43 | 10 | 30.4% | 0.1% |
| 7 | Hawks | 4 | 4 | .500 | 3 | 115.2 | 114.0 | +1.2 | 1-2 | 3-2 | W1 | 4-4 | 44.1 34–54 | 6 | 81.8% | 1.8% |
| 8 | Knicks | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 | 106.4 | 105.1 | +1.3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | W1 | 3-4 | 43.9 34–54 | 6 | 82.2% | 2.7% |
| 9 | Hornets | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 | 97.4 | 108.6 | −11.2 | 2-3 | 1-2 | L4 | 3-5 | 31.1 22–41 | 11 | 23.0% | 0.1% |
| 10 | Heat | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 | 118.1 | 123.9 | −5.7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | L1 | 2-5 | 36.8 27–47 | 8 | 51.0% | 0.3% |
| 11 | Magic | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 | 105.7 | 114.7 | −9.0 | 0-4 | 2-1 | L2 | 2-5 | 34.7 25–45 | 9 | 39.6% | 0.2% |
| 12 | Pacers | 2 | 6 | .250 | 5 | 111.8 | 115.6 | −3.9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | L5 | 2-6 | 28.2 19–37 | 12 | 14.2% | <0.1% |
| 13 | Nets | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 | 105.6 | 114.1 | −8.6 | 0-3 | 1-3 | L1 | 1-6 | 25.5 16–35 | 13 | 8.7% | <0.1% |
| 14 | Bucks | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 | 111.1 | 124.1 | −13.0 | 1-3 | 0-3 | L3 | 1-6 | 23.5 15–33 | 13 | 5.4% | <0.1% |
| 15 | Bulls | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 | 112.6 | 128.9 | −16.3 | 0-2 | 1-4 | L5 | 1-6 | 22.1 14–31 | 14 | 3.5% | <0.1% |
Our ratings feed 10,000 simulations of every remaining game, producing projected win totals, seed and chances; the range spans the middle 80% of outcomes. For both conferences: NBA futures.
Team stats for the Heat
- Points
- 118.1
- 9th
- Rebounds
- 42.3
- 22nd
- Assists
- 28.7
- 4th
- Field goal
- 47.8%
- 5th
- 3-point
- 34.8%
- 14th
- Free throw
- 73.0%
- 28th
- Turnovers
- 15.6
- 14th
- Possessions
- 105.9
- 3rd
Season leaders for the Heat
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 7 | 31.9 | 28.4 | 12.3 | 5.7 | 58.6 | 23.5 | 61.9 |
| Bam Adebayo | C | 7 | 31.4 | 16.3 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 49.4 | 17.4 | 76.5 |
| Davion Mitchell | G | 7 | 33.4 | 16.0 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 51.8 | 45.7 | 71.4 |
| Klay Thompson | G | 7 | 21.7 | 11.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 43.9 | 41.1 | 100.0 |
| Pelle Larsson | G | 7 | 29.7 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 46.8 | 38.9 | 90.6 |
| Andrew Wiggins | F | 7 | 26.9 | 10.3 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 44.6 | 29.4 | 66.7 |
| Bobby Portis | F | 7 | 22.1 | 8.9 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 40.4 | 40.0 | 80.0 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | G | 7 | 18.4 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 31.8 | 28.1 | 69.2 |
Injuries for the Heat
- Day-To-Day Myron Gardner F · quadriceps · expected return Nov 4
- Day-To-Day Giannis Antetokounmpo F · wrist · expected return Nov 4
Check the NBA injury report for every team.
Roster for the Heat
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bam Adebayo | C | 6' 9" | 29 | 10 |
| 7 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | F | 6' 11" | 31 | 14 |
| 4 | Ryan Conwell | G | 6' 3" | 22 | 0 |
| 24 | Tre Donaldson | G | 6' 2" | 22 | 0 |
| 0 | Simone Fontecchio | F | 6' 7" | 30 | 5 |
| 15 | Myron Gardner | F | 6' 5" | 25 | 2 |
| 50 | Vladislav Goldin | C | 7' 0" | 25 | 2 |
| 10 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | G | 6' 5" | 34 | 14 |
| 16 | Keshad Johnson | F | 6' 6" | 25 | 3 |
| 5 | Nikola Jovic | F | 6' 10" | 23 | 5 |
| 9 | Pelle Larsson | G | 6' 5" | 25 | 3 |
| 2 | Davion Mitchell | G | 6' 0" | 28 | 6 |
| 95 | Bobby Portis | F | 6' 9" | 31 | 12 |
| 8 | Nick Richards | C | 6' 11" | 28 | 7 |
| 12 | Dru Smith | G | 6' 2" | 28 | 5 |
| 11 | Klay Thompson | G | 6' 5" | 36 | 16 |
| 22 | Andrew Wiggins | F | 6' 7" | 31 | 13 |