Golden State Warriors predictions, picks and odds
- Record
- 5-3
- West rank
- 8
- Model rating
- +2.3 11th of 30
- Projected wins
- 45.3
- Playoff chance
- 66.9%
- Title chance
- 1.5%
Warriors schedule: our win chance for next games
| Date | Opponent | Tip | Warriors win chance | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs Heat | 10:00 PM ET | 70.8% | Picks and preview |
| Nov 7 | vs Magic | 8:30 PM ET | 68.4% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 9 | vs Pelicans | 10:00 PM ET | 70.4% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 11 | @ Rockets | 9:30 PM ET | 28.8% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 13 | @ Spurs | 9:30 PM ET | 34.1% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 16 | @ Pelicans | 8:00 PM ET | 55.6% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 18 | @ Mavericks | 9:30 PM ET | 54.6% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 192nd night | @ Grizzlies | 8:00 PM ET | 44.6% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 22 | vs Celtics | 8:30 PM ET | 54.2% | Opens 3 days before tip |
| Nov 25 | vs Kings | 10:00 PM ET | 81.9% | Opens 3 days before tip |
Warriors results versus the spread
Against the closing spread, the Warriors are 6-2 in the games below.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vs Suns | W 116-113 | −2.5 | W |
| Nov 1 | vs Clippers | W 124-112 | −1.5 | W |
| Oct 30 | vs Lakers | W 112-95 | +2.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Timberwolves | W 119-114 | +3.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | @ Nuggets | W 134-114 | +6.5 | W |
| Oct 24 | @ Suns | L 122-131 | +9.5 | W |
| Oct 23 | vs Grizzlies | L 108-111 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 21 | @ Lakers | L 105-127 | +6.5 | L |
Warriors 2025-26 season
37-45, 10th in the West. Out in the Play-In.
- Win pct
- .451
- Home
- 22-19
- Road
- 15-26
- vs West
- 24-28
- Within 5 pts
- 10-13
- Points
- 114.6
- Allowed
- 115.2
- Margin
- −0.6
Western Conference projections and standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | PPG | OPPG | Diff | Home | Road | Strk | L10 | Proj. W | Seed | Playoffs | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 7 | 1 | .875 | 0 | 119.2 | 106.4 | +12.9 | 4-0 | 3-1 | W2 | 7-1 | 57.6 48–66 | 2 | 97.6% | 19.5% |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 | 123.0 | 110.1 | +12.9 | 2-1 | 4-0 | L1 | 6-1 | 45.8 36–56 | 7 | 68.2% | 1.8% |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 | 120.2 | 109.3 | +10.8 | 1-1 | 4-0 | W2 | 5-1 | 48.7 38–59 | 5 | 79.0% | 4.2% |
| 4 | Lakers | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1 | 122.5 | 115.2 | +7.2 | 4-1 | 2-1 | W2 | 6-2 | 49.1 39–59 | 5 | 82.0% | 4.0% |
| 5 | Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 | 117.6 | 108.3 | +9.3 | 3-2 | 2-0 | W5 | 5-2 | 52.6 43–62 | 4 | 90.9% | 9.5% |
| 6 | Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 | 108.0 | 107.7 | +0.3 | 3-0 | 2-2 | W1 | 5-2 | 50.1 40–60 | 5 | 84.2% | 5.1% |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 | 119.0 | 107.6 | +11.4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | W1 | 5-3 | 52.8 44–62 | 4 | 92.3% | 10.9% |
| 8 | Warriors | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 | 117.5 | 114.6 | +2.9 | 3-1 | 2-2 | W5 | 5-3 | 45.3 35–55 | 7 | 66.9% | 1.5% |
| 9 | Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 | 112.3 | 112.3 | 0.0 | 2-2 | 2-1 | L1 | 4-3 | 37.6 28–48 | 10 | 29.7% | 0.2% |
| 10 | Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 | 113.3 | 115.7 | −2.3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | L1 | 3-3 | 41.2 31–52 | 9 | 48.4% | 0.9% |
| 11 | Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 | 121.9 | 120.1 | +1.7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | W3 | 3-4 | 35.7 26–46 | 11 | 23.1% | 0.2% |
| 12 | Suns | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 | 112.2 | 122.8 | −10.6 | 1-1 | 0-3 | L3 | 1-4 | 33.1 22–44 | 12 | 17.4% | 0.1% |
| 13 | Clippers | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 | 108.1 | 115.4 | −7.3 | 1-2 | 0-4 | L6 | 1-6 | 34.0 24–44 | 11 | 18.2% | 0.2% |
| 14 | Jazz | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 | 107.0 | 118.9 | −11.9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | L5 | 1-6 | 24.1 15–33 | 14 | 1.5% | <0.1% |
| 15 | Kings | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 | 110.1 | 124.3 | −14.1 | 0-2 | 1-4 | W1 | 1-6 | 21.5 13–31 | 14 | 0.7% | <0.1% |
Our ratings drive 10,000 simulations of each remaining game to project wins, seed and chances. Outcomes in the middle 80% fall inside the range shown. For both conferences, see NBA futures.
Warriors team statistics
- Points
- 117.5
- 11th
- Rebounds
- 43.9
- 16th
- Assists
- 26.8
- 12th
- Field goal
- 45.5%
- 19th
- 3-point
- 38.9%
- 4th
- Free throw
- 81.8%
- 4th
- Turnovers
- 16.5
- 19th
- Possessions
- 101.1
- 21st
Warriors leaders for the season
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | G | 6 | 29.0 | 30.0 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 46.8 | 42.9 | 98.1 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg | F | 8 | 31.9 | 21.5 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 76.9 |
| Brandin Podziemski | G | 6 | 33.5 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 46.2 | 35.0 | 70.0 |
| Brandon Williams | G | 7 | 17.4 | 11.6 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 38.1 | 35.0 | 83.9 |
| De'Anthony Melton | G | 8 | 23.0 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 43.5 | 46.3 | 85.7 |
| Gui Santos | F | 6 | 20.2 | 7.2 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 48.4 | 36.4 | 64.3 |
| Georges Niang | F | 8 | 19.9 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 43.4 | 29.0 | 75.0 |
| Charles Bassey | C | 6 | 11.5 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 81.8 |
Injuries for the Warriors
- Out Kristaps Porzingis C · illness · expected return Dec 1
- Day-To-Day Brandon Williams G · quadriceps · expected return Nov 5
- Day-To-Day Gui Santos F · knee · expected return Nov 5
- Day-To-Day Al Horford C · rest · expected return Nov 5
- Out Moses Moody G · knee · expected return Dec 1
- Out Jimmy Butler III F · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
For every team, see the NBA injury report.
The Warriors roster
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Charles Bassey | C | 6' 10" | 26 | 6 |
| 10 | Jimmy Butler III | F | 6' 6" | 37 | 16 |
| 18 | LJ Cryer | G | 6' 0" | 25 | 2 |
| 30 | Stephen Curry | G | 6' 2" | 38 | 18 |
| 23 | Draymond Green | F | 6' 6" | 36 | 15 |
| 20 | Al Horford | C | 6' 8" | 40 | 20 |
| Graham Ike | F | 6' 9" | 24 | 0 | |
| 1 | Yaxel Lendeborg | F | 6' 9" | 24 | 0 |
| 33 | Malevy Leons | F | 6' 9" | 27 | 3 |
| 8 | De'Anthony Melton | G | 6' 2" | 28 | 9 |
| 4 | Moses Moody | G | 6' 5" | 24 | 6 |
| 32 | Georges Niang | F | 6' 6" | 33 | 11 |
| 0 | Gary Payton II | G | 6' 2" | 33 | 11 |
| 2 | Brandin Podziemski | G | 6' 4" | 23 | 4 |
| 7 | Kristaps Porzingis | C | 7' 2" | 31 | 12 |
| 3 | Will Richard | G | 6' 3" | 23 | 2 |
| 15 | Gui Santos | F | 6' 7" | 24 | 4 |
| 12 | Brandon Williams | G | 6' 1" | 26 | 5 |