Thunder vs. Grizzlies prediction and picks, November 6, 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder (5-2) at Memphis Grizzlies (6-1), , FedExForum in Memphis on KSBI, DAZN MEM, Thunder App.
On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 4, 2:16 PM ET
Our picks for Thunder-Grizzlies
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies spread | +0.3 | +0.3 | ||
| Total points | 223.0 | +223.0 | ||
| Moneyline | OKC / MEM | OKC −104 / MEM +104 | ||
Previewing Thunder vs. Grizzlies
- A 5-2 overall record sits alongside a 3-2 mark from the Thunder's last 5, with 108.0 points scored and 107.7 given up per game.
- The Grizzlies sit at 6-1 overall and 4-1 in their last 5, averaging 123.0 points while giving up 110.1 per game.
- The Grizzlies' 47.6% field-goal rate comes with 123.0 a game, and the Thunder give up 107.7.
- Nikola Topic, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren are among 4 out for the Thunder.
- Out for the Grizzlies (1): Scotty Pippen Jr..
- The model has Thunder 0.3-point favorites (2.1 for season form, 1.7 for home court), with a 50.9% win chance.
Report on injuries
Thunder injuries
- Out Nikola Topic G · back · expected return Nov 13
- Out Thomas Sorber C · knee · expected return Nov 13
- Day-To-Day Jaylin Williams F · back · expected return Nov 4
- Out Cason Wallace G · shoulder · expected return Mar 2, 2027
- Out Chet Holmgren C · knee · expected return Jan 2, 2027
Grizzlies injuries
- Day-To-Day Quinten Post C · ankle · expected return Nov 4
- Out Scotty Pippen Jr. G · back · expected return Nov 6
Official league injury report: 12:45 PM ET, Nov 4 PDF.
This season's team stats
| Per game | OKC | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 108.0 25th | 123.0 1st |
| Rebounds | 46.6 9th | 49.7 2nd |
| Assists | 21.1 30th | 27.4 7th |
| Field goal | 43.8% 24th | 47.6% 6th |
| 3-point | 32.0% 26th | 42.1% 1st |
| Free throw | 87.9% 1st | 84.2% 2nd |
| Turnovers | 13.7 3rd | 16.0 18th |
| Possessions | 101.1 22nd | 104.7 11th |
Small type marks the league rank (7 and 7 games played). The better side is marked in bold.
A standings snapshot
| OKC | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 6th West | 2nd West |
| Record | 5-2 | 6-1 |
| Games back | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Home / road | 3-0 / 2-2 | 2-1 / 4-0 |
| Last 10, streak | 5-2, W1 | 6-1, L1 |
| Point differential | +0.3 | +12.9 |
| Projected wins | 50.1 | 45.8 |
| Playoff chance | 84.2% | 68.2% |
The remaining season was simulated 10,000 times to set these projections; the full table sits in NBA futures.
Leaders of the season
Thunder leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 7 | 33.6 | 28.4 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 45.1 | 33.3 | 87.5 |
| Ajay Mitchell | G | 7 | 26.9 | 17.0 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 50.0 | 19.0 | 95.5 |
| Jalen Williams | G | 3 | 31.7 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 80.0 |
| Chet Holmgrenout | C | 3 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 40.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 |
| Jared McCain | G | 7 | 25.0 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 34.7 | 28.2 | 81.8 |
Grizzlies leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | G | 6 | 31.2 | 28.2 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 50.4 | 42.1 | 88.6 |
| Cameron Boozer | F | 7 | 32.0 | 17.4 | 10.3 | 5.6 | 37.5 | 36.4 | 94.4 |
| Cedric Coward | F | 6 | 28.7 | 12.8 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 49.2 | 57.7 | 66.7 |
| Isaiah Stewart | C | 6 | 19.7 | 12.8 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 65.9 | 57.1 | 100.0 |
| Jaylen Wells | F | 7 | 28.1 | 12.7 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 55.0 | 38.9 | 69.2 |
Starters and rosters, projected
Thunder starters
- F Jaylin Williams
- C Isaiah Hartenstein
- G Kenrich Williams
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
- G Ajay Mitchell
Full Thunder roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Brooks Barnhizer | F | 6' 6" | 24 |
| 9 | Alex Caruso | G | 6' 5" | 32 |
| 21 | Josh Dix | G | 6' 5" | 22 |
| 2 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | G | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 55 | Isaiah Hartenstein | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 7 | Chet Holmgren | C | 7' 1" | 24 |
| 15 | Aday Mara | C | 7' 3" | 21 |
| 3 | Jared McCain | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 25 | Ajay Mitchell | G | 6' 4" | 24 |
| Micah Peavy | G | 6' 7" | 25 | |
| 12 | Thomas Sorber | C | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 14 | Bennett Stirtz | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| Dalen Terry | G | 6' 6" | 24 | |
| 44 | Nikola Topic | G | 6' 6" | 21 |
| 22 | Cason Wallace | G | 6' 3" | 22 |
| 8 | Jalen Williams | G | 6' 5" | 25 |
| 6 | Jaylin Williams | F | 6' 9" | 24 |
| 34 | Kenrich Williams | G | 6' 7" | 31 |
Grizzlies starters
- F Cedric Coward
- F Cameron Boozer
- F Jaylen Wells
- C Zach Edey
- G Ty Jerome
Both starting fives come from the Nov 2 game for each team; confirmed lineups post about 30 minutes ahead of tipoff.
Full Grizzlies roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cameron Boozer | F | 6' 8" | 19 |
| 20 | Carson Cooper | C | 6' 11" | 22 |
| 23 | Cedric Coward | F | 6' 5" | 23 |
| 14 | Zach Edey | C | 7' 3" | 24 |
| 3 | Jerami Grant | F | 6' 7" | 32 |
| 22 | Taylor Hendricks | F | 6' 9" | 22 |
| 45 | GG Jackson | F | 6' 9" | 21 |
| 2 | Ty Jerome | G | 6' 5" | 29 |
| 35 | Karim Lopez | F | 6' 8" | 19 |
| 21 | Jahmai Mashack | G | 6' 3" | 23 |
| 17 | Kris Murray | F | 6' 8" | 26 |
| 1 | Scotty Pippen Jr. | G | 6' 2" | 25 |
| 41 | Quinten Post | C | 7' 0" | 26 |
| 18 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | F | 6' 7" | 24 |
| 10 | Javon Small | G | 6' 1" | 23 |
| 24 | Cam Spencer | G | 6' 3" | 26 |
| 28 | Isaiah Stewart | C | 6' 8" | 25 |
| 0 | Jaylen Wells | F | 6' 7" | 23 |
Last five games and season series
Season meetings
- Nov 6 Thunder at Grizzlies, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Thunder 3, Grizzlies 0
- Points per game
- Thunder 116.7, Grizzlies 106.3
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Regular season | Thunder at Grizzlies | 117-116 | Thunder by 1 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Regular season | Grizzlies at Thunder | 103-119 | Thunder by 16 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Regular season | Thunder at Grizzlies | 114-100 | Thunder by 14 |
Thunder last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ Cavaliers | W 117-112 | +4.5 | W |
| Oct 31 | @ Rockets | L 98-119 | +2.5 | L |
| Oct 28 | @ Mavericks | L 96-120 | −4.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | vs Suns | W 125-114 | −8.5 | W |
| Oct 25 | vs Clippers | W 108-101 | −16.5 | L |
Grizzlies last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vs Pelicans | L 134-135 | −5.5 | L |
| Oct 31 | vs Kings | W 136-105 | −7.5 | W |
| Oct 29 | @ Trail Blazers | W 124-103 | +7.5 | W |
| Oct 26 | @ Jazz | W 110-105 | −1.5 | W |
| Oct 25 | @ Kings | W 123-112 | −3.5 | W |