76ers vs. Pistons prediction and picks, November 4, 2026
Philadelphia 76ers (7-1) at Detroit Pistons (6-1), , Little Caesars Arena in Detroit on ESPN.
On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 4, 2:16 PM ET
What we're picking for the 76ers vs. Pistons
- SpreadPistons -2.5 −106Model 63.9% vs 51.5% to break evenWide edge +12.4Posted
- TotalUnder 218.5 −110Model 54.0% vs 52.4% to break evenSlim edge +1.6Posted
- MoneylinePistons to win −130Model 70.3% vs 56.5% to break evenWide edge +13.8Posted
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons spread | −1.5 | −2.5 | −7.5 | −5.0 |
| Total points | 219.5 | 218.5 | 216.7 | −1.8 |
| Moneyline | PHI +110 / DET −130 | PHI +237 / DET −237 | ||
Looking ahead: 76ers vs. Pistons
- The 76ers are 7-1 overall and 4-1 in their last 5, with 110.9 points scored and 105.1 allowed per game.
- The Pistons are 6-1 overall and 4-1 in their last 5, with 111.9 points scored and 100.3 allowed per game.
- Our total of 216.7 is 1.8 points below the 218.5 posted on the board. Possessions per game: 76ers 103.1 (15th in the league), Pistons 100.0 (28th).
- The Pistons average 111.9 points a game on a 46.9% field-goal rate, while the 76ers allow 105.1.
- 2 players are out for the 76ers: Dominick Barlow, Ariel Hukporti.
- 2 players are out for the Pistons: Isaiah Joe, Jalen Duren.
- Our model has the Pistons 7.5-point favorites, with a 70.3% chance they win.
Player injuries
76ers injuries
- Out Dominick Barlow F · back · expected return Nov 12
- Out Ariel Hukporti C · achilles · expected return Oct 1, 2027
Pistons injuries
- Out Isaiah Joe G · hip · expected return Nov 8
- Out Jalen Duren C · hamstring · expected return Nov 9
Official league injury report: 12:45 PM ET, Nov 4 PDF.
Season team stats
| Per game | PHI | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 110.9 21st | 111.9 18th |
| Rebounds | 41.6 24th | 44.6 12th |
| Assists | 26.5 15th | 27.1 10th |
| Field goal | 45.2% 21st | 46.9% 12th |
| 3-point | 34.2% 19th | 38.1% 6th |
| Free throw | 75.0% 21st | 75.6% 19th |
| Turnovers | 12.9 1st | 15.6 13th |
| Possessions | 103.1 15th | 100.0 28th |
Small type shows league rank, with 8 and 7 games played. The bold side is the better one.
Current standings
| PHI | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 1st East | 2nd East |
| Record | 7-1 | 6-1 |
| Games back | 0 | 0.5 |
| Home / road | 4-1 / 3-0 | 2-0 / 4-1 |
| Last 10, streak | 7-1, W4 | 6-1, W3 |
| Point differential | +5.8 | +11.6 |
| Projected wins | 46.8 | 57.3 |
| Playoff chance | 88.8% | 99.3% |
The projections use 10,000 simulations for the rest of the season. The full table appears on NBA futures.
Leaders for the season
76ers leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | G | 8 | 37.5 | 29.1 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 50.3 | 33.9 | 83.1 |
| Jaylen Brown | G | 7 | 36.1 | 20.6 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 45.7 | 41.9 | 73.5 |
| Joel Embiid | C | 6 | 33.3 | 18.5 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 40.7 | 13.0 | 85.0 |
| LeBron James | F | 6 | 33.0 | 16.2 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 45.1 | 23.8 | 62.1 |
| VJ Edgecombe | G | 7 | 33.3 | 12.7 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 44.3 | 34.3 | 63.6 |
Pistons leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | G | 7 | 32.6 | 23.7 | 5.4 | 7.1 | 48.3 | 37.0 | 76.7 |
| Duncan Robinson | F | 7 | 30.1 | 17.9 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 44.6 | 45.2 | 88.5 |
| Paul Reed | F | 7 | 27.0 | 13.4 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 65.0 | 71.4 | 73.3 |
| Jalen Durenout | C | 2 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 58.8 | 85.7 | |
| Daniss Jenkins | G | 7 | 24.3 | 9.9 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 44.4 | 41.7 | 84.6 |
Projected starters plus rosters
76ers starters
- F LeBron James
- C Joel Embiid
- G Jaylen Brown
- G Tyrese Maxey
- G VJ Edgecombe
Full 76ers roster (17)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Dominick Barlow | F | 6' 9" | 23 |
| 30 | Adem Bona | C | 6' 10" | 23 |
| 7 | Jaylen Brown | G | 6' 6" | 30 |
| 1 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | G | 6' 5" | 33 |
| 77 | VJ Edgecombe | G | 6' 5" | 21 |
| 11 | Justin Edwards | F | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 21 | Joel Embiid | C | 7' 0" | 32 |
| 99 | Tacko Fall | C | 7' 6" | 30 |
| 55 | Ariel Hukporti | C | 7' 0" | 24 |
| 23 | LeBron James | F | 6' 9" | 41 |
| 8 | Caleb Love | G | 6' 3" | 25 |
| 0 | Tyrese Maxey | G | 6' 2" | 25 |
| 00 | Labaron Philon Jr. | G | 6' 3" | 20 |
| 12 | Rayan Rupert | G | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 5 | Anfernee Simons | G | 6' 4" | 27 |
| 45 | Dean Wade | F | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 33 | Jabari Walker | F | 6' 7" | 24 |
Pistons starters
- F Duncan Robinson
- F John Collins
- F Paul Reed
- G Cade Cunningham
- G Ausar Thompson
Each team's starting five comes from its Nov 2 game, and confirmed lineups appear about 30 minutes before tip.
Full Pistons roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | John Collins | F | 6' 9" | 29 |
| 2 | Cade Cunningham | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 0 | Jalen Duren | C | 6' 10" | 22 |
| 31 | Javonte Green | G | 6' 5" | 33 |
| 94 | Elijah Harkless | G | 6' 3" | 26 |
| 5 | Ronald Holland II | F | 6' 8" | 21 |
| 27 | Kevin Huerter | G | 6' 6" | 28 |
| 24 | Daniss Jenkins | G | 6' 4" | 25 |
| 17 | Isaiah Joe | G | 6' 4" | 27 |
| 13 | Isaac Jones | C | 6' 8" | 26 |
| 8 | Chaz Lanier | G | 6' 3" | 24 |
| 23 | Ebuka Okorie | G | 6' 2" | 19 |
| 34 | Ugonna Onyenso | C | 7' 0" | 22 |
| 12 | Taurean Prince | F | 6' 6" | 32 |
| 7 | Paul Reed | F | 6' 9" | 27 |
| 55 | Duncan Robinson | F | 6' 7" | 32 |
| 35 | Tolu Smith | F | 6' 11" | 26 |
| 9 | Ausar Thompson | G | 6' 7" | 23 |
The last five games, and the season series
Season matchups
- Oct 25 Pistons at 76ers, 106-93 (Pistons won)
- Nov 4 76ers at Pistons, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- 76ers 0, Pistons 4
- Points per game
- 76ers 103.8, Pistons 118.0
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Regular season | Pistons at 76ers | 116-93 | Pistons by 23 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Regular season | 76ers at Pistons | 109-131 | Pistons by 22 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Regular season | 76ers at Pistons | 105-114 | Pistons by 9 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Regular season | Pistons at 76ers | 111-108 | Pistons by 3 |
76ers last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vs Bulls | W 126-107 | −10.5 | W |
| Oct 31 | @ Hornets | W 109-104 | −1.5 | W |
| Oct 30 | vs Knicks | W 98-93 | +3.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Pacers | W 114-109 | −7.5 | L |
| Oct 25 | vs Pistons | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L |
Pistons last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ Hornets | W 124-91 | −5.5 | W |
| Oct 30 | @ Nets | W 110-94 | −8.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | vs Hornets | W 97-89 | −7.5 | W |
| Oct 27 | @ Knicks | L 97-111 | +4.5 | L |
| Oct 25 | @ 76ers | W 106-93 | −1.5 | W |