Hawks vs. Wizards prediction and picks, November 4, 2026
Atlanta Hawks (4-4) at Washington Wizards (4-3), , Capital One Arena in Washington on MNMT.
On the board since November 4, 2026 · numbers refreshed Nov 4, 2:16 PM ET
Our picks for Hawks-Wizards
- SpreadHawks -2.5 −104Model 54.7% vs 51.0% to break evenClear edge +3.7Posted
- TotalUnder 232.5 −110Model 62.5% vs 52.4% to break evenWide edge +10.1Posted
- MoneylineHawks to win −142Model 61.7% vs 58.7% to break evenClear edge +3.0Posted
| Market | Open | Now | Model fair | Model minus market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards spread | +1.5 | +2.5 | +4.2 | +1.7 |
| Total points | 234.5 | 232.5 | 226.7 | −5.8 |
| Moneyline | ATL −142 / WSH +120 | ATL −161 / WSH +161 | ||
Look ahead at the Hawks vs. Wizards game
- The Hawks are 4-4 and 2-3 in their last 5, with 115.2 scored and 114.0 allowed each game.
- The Wizards hold a 4-3 record and a 3-2 mark in their last 5. They score 109.4 points each game and give up 107.4.
- Per game, the Hawks post 105.7 possessions (4th in the league) and the Wizards 100.6 (24th). Our 226.7 total falls 5.8 points shy of the 232.5 on the board.
- The Wizards put up 109.4 a game with a 47.6% field-goal rate, while the Hawks allow 114.0.
- Jock Landale, Mouhamed Gueye, Henri Veesaar are 3 Hawks players listed as out.
- Reece Beekman, Tristan Vukcevic, Justin Champagnie are 3 Wizards players listed as out.
- The model makes the Hawks 4.2-point favorites and puts their win chance at 61.7%.
Injury update
Hawks injuries
- Out Jock Landale C · hip · expected return Nov 6
- Day-To-Day Jalen Johnson F · ankle · expected return Nov 4
- Out Mouhamed Gueye F · foot · expected return Nov 20
- Out Henri Veesaar C · knee · expected return Jul 1, 2027
Wizards injuries
- Day-To-Day Anthony Gill F · back · expected return Nov 4
- Day-To-Day Alex Sarr C · knee · expected return Nov 4
- Out Reece Beekman G · shoulder · expected return Dec 3
- Out Tristan Vukcevic F · hip · expected return Nov 9
- Out Justin Champagnie F · foot · expected return Feb 25, 2027
Official league injury report: 12:45 PM ET, Nov 4 PDF.
Season team stats
| Per game | ATL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 115.2 12th | 109.4 23rd |
| Rebounds | 43.1 18th | 41.0 25th |
| Assists | 30.6 1st | 24.7 25th |
| Field goal | 44.5% 23rd | 47.6% 7th |
| 3-point | 34.6% 16th | 30.2% 28th |
| Free throw | 74.8% 22nd | 82.5% 3rd |
| Turnovers | 14.8 6th | 15.0 7th |
| Possessions | 105.7 4th | 100.6 24th |
Small type shows league rank (8 and 7 games played). The better side appears in bold.
League standings at a glance
| ATL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Conference rank | 7th East | 6th East |
| Record | 4-4 | 4-3 |
| Games back | 3 | 2.5 |
| Home / road | 1-2 / 3-2 | 2-1 / 2-2 |
| Last 10, streak | 4-4, W1 | 4-3, W2 |
| Point differential | +1.2 | +2.0 |
| Projected wins | 44.1 | 32.9 |
| Playoff chance | 81.8% | 30.4% |
Projections come from 10,000 simulations of the remaining season; the full table appears on NBA futures.
Leaders of the season
Hawks leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | G | 8 | 30.1 | 21.1 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 43.8 | 40.3 | 81.2 |
| Jalen Johnson | F | 7 | 32.7 | 18.3 | 9.0 | 7.9 | 42.1 | 25.8 | 83.3 |
| CJ McCollum | G | 8 | 26.8 | 14.2 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 45.7 | 37.2 | 82.4 |
| Aaron Wiggins | G | 8 | 25.6 | 13.8 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 46.2 | 40.4 | 62.5 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | F | 8 | 28.9 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 45.2 | 27.8 | 71.4 |
Wizards leaders
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | F | 7 | 33.6 | 23.0 | 9.1 | 2.0 | 48.0 | 36.8 | 82.1 |
| Trae Young | G | 7 | 36.1 | 19.9 | 3.6 | 10.0 | 39.4 | 27.1 | 83.9 |
| AJ Dybantsa | F | 3 | 30.0 | 19.0 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 50.0 | 27.3 | 93.3 |
| Kyshawn George | F | 7 | 32.4 | 16.1 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 48.3 | 32.4 | 78.9 |
| Alex Sarr | C | 6 | 25.5 | 9.3 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 52.4 | 25.0 | 72.7 |
Expected starters and team rosters
Hawks starters
- F Onyeka Okongwu
- G CJ McCollum
- G Nickeil Alexander-Walker
- G Luguentz Dort
- G Dyson Daniels
Full Hawks roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | G | 6' 5" | 28 |
| 5 | Dyson Daniels | G | 6' 7" | 23 |
| 10 | RayJ Dennis | G | 6' 2" | 25 |
| 0 | Luguentz Dort | G | 6' 4" | 27 |
| 20 | Zuby Ejiofor | F | 6' 8" | 22 |
| 8 | Dorian Finney-Smith | F | 6' 7" | 33 |
| 4 | Kingston Flemings | G | 6' 3" | 19 |
| 00 | Keshon Gilbert | G | 6' 4" | 23 |
| 18 | Mouhamed Gueye | F | 6' 11" | 23 |
| 1 | Jalen Johnson | F | 6' 8" | 24 |
| 24 | Corey Kispert | F | 6' 6" | 27 |
| 31 | Jock Landale | C | 6' 11" | 31 |
| 3 | CJ McCollum | G | 6' 3" | 35 |
| 14 | Asa Newell | F | 6' 11" | 21 |
| 17 | Onyeka Okongwu | F | 6' 10" | 25 |
| 13 | Henri Veesaar | C | 7' 0" | 22 |
| 2 | Aaron Wiggins | G | 6' 5" | 27 |
| 22 | Jalen Wilson | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
Wizards starters
- F Anthony Davis
- F AJ Dybantsa
- F Kyshawn George
- C Deandre Ayton
- G Trae Young
Each team's starting five shown here comes from its Nov 2 game. Confirmed lineups arrive roughly 30 minutes before the opening tip.
Full Wizards roster (18)
| No. | Player | Pos | Height | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deandre Ayton | C | 7' 0" | 28 |
| 26 | Reece Beekman | G | 6' 3" | 25 |
| 7 | Bub Carrington | G | 6' 4" | 21 |
| 9 | Justin Champagnie | F | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 0 | Bilal Coulibaly | G | 6' 7" | 22 |
| 23 | Anthony Davis | F | 6' 10" | 33 |
| 4 | AJ Dybantsa | F | 6' 9" | 19 |
| 18 | Kyshawn George | F | 6' 8" | 22 |
| 16 | Anthony Gill | F | 6' 7" | 34 |
| 12 | Tre Johnson | G | 6' 5" | 20 |
| 1 | Tre Mann | G | 6' 4" | 25 |
| 22 | Khris Middleton | F | 6' 7" | 35 |
| 34 | Felix Okpara | F | 6' 10" | 22 |
| 27 | Will Riley | G | 6' 9" | 20 |
| 20 | Alex Sarr | C | 7' 0" | 21 |
| 00 | Tristan Vukcevic | F | 7' 0" | 23 |
| 5 | Jamir Watkins | G | 6' 6" | 25 |
| 3 | Trae Young | G | 6' 2" | 28 |
Season meetings and the last five games
Head-to-head games this season
- Nov 4 Hawks at Wizards, prediction
- Nov 6 Wizards at Hawks, prediction
2025-26 meetings
- Regular season
- Hawks 3, Wizards 1
- Points per game
- Hawks 122.2, Wizards 110.5
| Date | Game | Matchup | Score | Winner and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Regular season | Wizards at Hawks | 96-126 | Hawks by 30 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Regular season | Wizards at Hawks | 98-119 | Hawks by 21 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Regular season | Hawks at Wizards | 131-116 | Hawks by 15 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Regular season | Hawks at Wizards | 113-132 | Wizards by 19 |
Hawks last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ Pacers | W 108-104 | −10.5 | L |
| Oct 31 | @ Pelicans | L 99-121 | −5.5 | L |
| Oct 29 | vs Cavaliers | W 114-111 | −1.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | vs Heat | L 117-129 | −2.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | @ Rockets | L 110-120 | +4.5 | L |
Wizards last five
| Date | Opponent | Result | Closing spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @ Magic | W 103-94 | +2.5 | W |
| Oct 30 | vs Hornets | W 95-79 | +1.5 | W |
| Oct 28 | @ Cavaliers | L 111-121 | +9.5 | L |
| Oct 26 | @ Hornets | L 103-110 | +2.5 | L |
| Oct 24 | @ Bulls | W 124-120 | +1.5 | W |